Sunday, March 19, 2006

Iraq Is Embroiled In Civil War Says Allawi, Will

Two men who are certainly no shrinking violets when it comes to hawkishness have publicly announced something that readers of this blog are long aware of--that Iraq is embroiled in a civil war.

The administration continues their public denial of the obvious.

Iraq is in the middle of a civil war, former Prime Minister Ayad Allawi said in a TV interview aired Sunday. His comments were immediately rejected by Britain's defense secretary.


Conservative pundit George Will agrees with Allawi's diagnosis of the situation on the ground in the U.S. ruined country.

(The head of the Defense Intelligence Agency Lt. Gen. Michael) Maples delicately says that although Iraq is not "at this time" in a civil war, "the underlying conditions" for such a war "are present." But civil wars do not usually begin with an identifiable event, such as the firing on Fort Sumter, or proceed to massed, uniformed forces clashing in battles like Shiloh. Iraq's civil war -- which looks more like Spain's in the 1930s -- began months ago.

In Spain, the security forces were united and in three years were victorious. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and Gen. John Abizaid, U.S. commander in the Middle East, recently said that Iraqi forces would cope with a civil war "to the extent they're able to" (Rumsfeld) and "they'll handle it with our help" (Abizaid). Their problematic assumption is that Iraq's security forces have a national loyalty and will not fracture along the fissures of Iraq's sectarian society.

Speaking of Defense Secretary Rumsfeld, the outspoken kook has published an op-ed in today's Washington Post, typically offending the sensibilities of any reasonably aware Americans with his obfuscation.

History is not made up of daily headlines, blogs on Web sites or the latest sensational attack. History is a bigger picture, and it takes some time and perspective to measure accurately.

This, from one of the central theorists of the historical revisionist idea that the U.S. did not lose the Vietnam War.

Consider that in three years Iraq has gone from enduring a brutal dictatorship to electing a provisional government to ratifying a new constitution written by Iraqis to electing a permanent government last December. In each of these elections, the number of voters participating has increased significantly -- from 8.5 million in the January 2005 election to nearly 12 million in the December election -- in defiance of terrorists' threats and attacks.

Sounds good? Let GOP stalwart George Will add the missing color commentary:

Conditions in Iraq have worsened in the 94 days that have passed since Iraq's elections in December. And there still is no Iraqi government that can govern. By many measures conditions are worse than they were a year ago, when they were worse than they had been the year before.

Rummy uses an example from one of his prescribed long historical vantage points to argue against withdrawing U.S. troops from their Iraq:

Turning our backs on postwar Iraq today would be the modern equivalent of handing postwar Germany back to the Nazis. It would be as great a disgrace as if we had asked the liberated nations of Eastern Europe to return to Soviet domination because it was too hard or too tough or we didn't have the patience to work with them as they built free countries.

Rumsfeld ignores the fact that the allies had plenty of troops and civilians on the ground in defeated Germany (not to mention the Marshall Plan) to assist the Germans in creating their new society. How does he expect the Americans to do the same thing in Iraq where the security situation is hardly conducive to a similar effort?

And we didn't reject the formerly Communist Eastern Europe for the simple reason that there were newly created economic opportunities for business which conveniently presented themselves therein.

Such bullshittery is one telling symptom of the sickness that has gripped the highest levels of the administration.

11 Comments:

Blogger M1 said...

Allawi is a stuttering epicene puppet like W. Interestingly, though hardly surprising, they both suffer from the same speech impediment - Ventrilostammer (ie,forgetting the message of import the ventriloquist with the fistup their butts whispered to them 0.7 seconds ago)

If he's calling the stat. civil war then that's the label our game plan has called for - it means dick other than that. He missed the actual fuzzy civil war kick-off by a good year or so. I'd say 18 months if I wasn't such a love-needy wimp.

I give Allawi 8 months to live, tops. He's got that look that sheep have about themselves the morning of their afternoon slaughter - they sense what's up even if they're dumb wooly fucks. Unless of course we fly him out as the Green zone is overrun and swing his pudgy ass a job stomping grapes at an organic winery in the Sonamo valley.

But I think he'll hang at home. Call it a gut feeling or woman's intuition. It's all the same.

3/19/2006 9:08 PM  
Blogger Effwit said...

M1:

Venrilostammer. Nice.

Allawi is not terribly well-liked in Iraq. Him being a former Saddamist and all. Your prediction of his longevity is probably on the mark.

Your point about the civil war announcement by Allawi being part of the script--despite the denials of the American officials--may be born out by the fact that the fat ass apparently made the same announcement this a.m. on both BBC and NBC. No simple slip of the tongue.

Speaking of slip-up, Gen. Casey on Meet The Press today inadvertently let slip the CIA/Iraqi Insurgent negotiations.

MR. RUSSERT: You're having negotiations with the insurgents?

GEN. CASEY: No, I said we are, we are seeing people coming forward and being more willing to talk. I'm, I'm not negotiating with any insurgents.

MR. RUSSERT: You're having conversations with the insurgents?

GEN. CASEY: I'm, I'm not having any conversations with insurgents, Tim.

MR. RUSSERT: Then who are they talking to?

GEN. CASEY: They're talking to political folks, people who, who talk to us, and passing messages.


LOL

3/19/2006 9:39 PM  
Blogger M1 said...

"...we are seeing people coming forward and being more willing to talk"
and
"They're talking to political folks, people who, who talk to us, and passing messages"

What can a meatball say...Hilarious again. Twice funny in as many days made for a sore-ribbed weekend.
Transcripts can be wicked...like, like bullshit detecting X-Rays.

3/19/2006 10:30 PM  
Blogger M1 said...

"being more willing to talk" - I'm still cracked up

3/19/2006 10:31 PM  
Blogger Effwit said...

M1:

Precisely. The transcript alone conveys the general's anguished and palpitant verbosity.

The feeling that he had just stepped on his dick must have been excruciating.

He was, as they say, between Iraq and a hard place.

3/19/2006 10:51 PM  
Blogger DrewL said...

Gee, and I though - listening to Bush and Cheney, at least - that we didn't negotiate with terrorists. Of course, Casey reversed and said the same thing. Just a moment or two too late, though. Sorry, General, it's already out there and on tape. Too late for regrets.

The whole civil war debate - is it or isn't it? - reminds of the old "what is the definition of is?" debate. One man's civil war is another man's freedom march, just like one man's terrorist is another man's freedom fighter. It's all in one's perspective. My guess is that if there are more than 1,000 people involved with weapons being used between at least two competing factions, then it's a civil war. Bingo!

3/19/2006 11:55 PM  
Blogger Effwit said...

DrewL:

The administration thinks that if we admit that there is a civil war, that it would reflect poorly upon the American performance in Iraq so far.

As you know, Bush hates to admit he is wrong.

Just like Lyndon Johnson. Both "Texans" (I use that term loosely with Bush) also look at their wars as a matter of proving their machismo.

Johnson was speaking to some of his advisors in the White House about what to do about the quagmire that they found themselves stuck in, and said:

"You know, the North Vietnamese are basically saying 'Fuck You, Lyndon Johnson', and NOBODY SAYS 'Fuck You, Lyndon Johnson' and gets away with it."

It appears that Bush views the "war on terror" the same way.

3/20/2006 9:13 AM  
Blogger M1 said...

"anguished and palpitant verbosity" - u be the pro at hitting the button with one energy conserving kung fu swipe of the pen

3/20/2006 10:21 AM  
Blogger Effwit said...

M1:

I sometimes fear that I am precipitating towards a George Will-like diffuse pomposity delineated by very rare occasions of faux brilliance, unmeaningful to any real world circumstance.

While you, on the other hand, prove daily that English is a living language.

:-(

3/20/2006 11:13 AM  
Blogger M1 said...

que? :O

3/20/2006 6:12 PM  
Blogger Effwit said...

M1:

Everything Okay.

Twas just contrasting my boring (if occasionally witty) style of writing with your creative approach to syntax and usage, etc.

The frowny face was not a reflection upon your powers, but mine.

BTW, have you had problems with Blogspot today?

For the last many hours, I have not been able to access nearly anyones Blogspot blogs or even get a sign-in page.

Looks to be fixed now, I hope.

3/20/2006 6:28 PM  

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