Thursday, October 12, 2006

NIE Stated That NK Had No Nukes

You heard it here first, folks (see inter alia, Monday's post and a comment to a post from last March).

Some recent secret reports stated that Pyongyang did not have nuclear arms and until recently was bluffing about plans for a test, according to officials who have read the classified assessments.

The analyses in question included a National Intelligence Estimate a consensus report of all U.S. spy agencies produced several months ago and at least two other classified reports on North Korea produced by senior officials within the office of the Director of National Intelligence John D. Negroponte.

According to officials familiar with the reports, the failures included judgments that cast doubt about whether North Korea's nuclear program posed an immediate threat, whether North Korea could produce a militarily useful nuclear bomb, whether North Korea was capable of conducting an underground nuclear test and whether Pyongyang was bluffing by claiming it could carry one out.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

if the NK kaboom turns out indeed to be of the nuclear sort, the lesson will be...NK slipped the loose which just goes to prove how dangerous Iran might turn out to be, and that much earlier than the shoddy intel community is guessing. We can't afford such a mistake kaboom goes Iran?

Is that how this NK blast is gonna be exploited by the whacko wing of the chicken hawk bed wetters? I've kinda had that feeling since the crooked bang.

10/12/2006 5:21 PM  
Blogger Effwit said...


The One Percent Doctrine may get another workout.

10/12/2006 6:30 PM  

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