Thursday, August 17, 2006

U.S. Position In Iraq Deteriorating

In the last two months, an increasing number of supporters of the Iraq war in Washington have been voicing doubts about the mission and asking hard questions of the DOD and uniformed military who have been sent to the Hill to brief lawmakers.

This is because things are getting worse on the ground, and are showing little chance for improvement.

The number of roadside bombs planted in Iraq rose in July to the highest monthly total of the war, offering more evidence that the anti-American insurgency has continued to strengthen despite the killing of the terrorist leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.

Along with a sharp increase in sectarian attacks, the number of daily strikes against American and Iraqi security forces has doubled since January. The deadliest means of attack, roadside bombs, made up much of that increase. In July, of 2,625 explosive devices, 1,666 exploded and 959 were discovered before they went off. In January, 1,454 bombs exploded or were found.

The bomb statistics -- compiled by American military authorities in Baghdad and made available at the request of The New York Times -- are part of a growing body of data and intelligence analysis about the violence in Iraq that has produced somber public assessments from military commanders, administration officials and lawmakers on Capitol Hill.

"The insurgency has gotten worse by almost all measures, with insurgent attacks at historically high levels," said a senior Defense Department official who agreed to discuss the issue only on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak for attribution. "The insurgency has more public support and is demonstrably more capable in numbers of people active and in its ability to direct violence than at any point in time."

A separate, classified report by the Defense Intelligence Agency, dated Aug. 3, details worsening security conditions inside the country and describes how Iraq risks sliding toward civil war, according to several officials who have read the document or who have received a briefing on its contents.

The nine-page D.I.A. study, titled "Iraq Update," compiles the most recent empirical data on the number of attacks, bombings, murders and other violent acts, as well as diagrams of the groups carrying out insurgent and sectarian attacks, the officials said.

The report's contents are being widely discussed among Pentagon officials, military commanders and, in particular, on Capitol Hill, where concern among senior lawmakers of both parties is growing over a troubling dichotomy: even as Iraq takes important steps toward democracy -- including the election of a permanent government this spring -- the violence has gotten worse.

Senior Bush administration officials reject the idea that Iraq is on the verge of civil war, and state with unwavering confidence that the broad American strategy in Iraq remains on course.

This willful disregard of the facts by the administration is resulting in more Americans being sent to their doom for no better reason than to help forestall the loss of face for the plotters of the Iraq misadventure.

There is an old truism that warns against throwing good money after bad.

A related maxim in finance points to the folly of adding to a bad position.

The architects of the war -- mostly wealthy men -- wouldn't dare ignore such admonitions when dealing with their own money.

It is easier to take reckless chances when you are playing with other peoples' assets.

Or blood.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

I was at the dentist this morning and saw a National Geographic with the cutline... Who's winning in Iraq?

I didn't bother opening the magazine because I didn't want to get propagandized so early in the day...

But any way, who are they trying to kid? News flash:

1. The U.S. has already lost the war.
2. The civil war has already started.
3. They don't hate the U.S. for its "freedom" but for bombing their houses and murdering their children... you have to understand it takes quite a mentally injured person to be "grateful" for that kind of "liberation". -- and there aren't that many around...

-- Dick Cheney, Bush, etc. have a sense of entitlement so large, that it blinds them to reality. But what's everyone elses' excuse?


8/17/2006 12:52 PM  
Blogger Effwit said...


The National Geographic is extremely close to the U.S. government. Their headquarters is in Washington D.C. I would expect no less than a gloss-over from them.

I fully agree with your points 1, 2, and 3.

Dick Cheney, Bush, etc. have a sense of entitlement so large, that it blinds them to reality. But what's everyone elses' excuse?

I heard an interesting explication recently that said that the reason why many Americans support the nefarious programs of the Bush administration is that people have a natural tendency to adopt the ethos of the regime in power. This is common the world over, and the idea was allegedly first put forward by either Plato or Aristotle.

The theory sounds reasonable to me.

8/17/2006 1:17 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Eff... the theory sounds reasonable to me too...

BTW I must say I appreciate your responding to comments... I guess you must have some sort of program that lets you know when someone posts one?


8/17/2006 1:42 PM  
Blogger RevJim said...

Got a good site for you to check out, effwit. Someone who will always agree with you: Irag's Prez

8/17/2006 1:59 PM  
Blogger Effwit said...


Tis my pleasure.

8/17/2006 3:50 PM  
Blogger Effwit said...

Rev Jim:

Suit up and get your ass over there if you think its such a good idea for us to stay.

BTW: Your link goes to Iran's president. Not Irag's. Whatever that is.

8/17/2006 3:50 PM  
Blogger DrewL said...

The mentality in this quagmire is one of an addicted gambler. Instead of saying, "Enough's enough. I'm done," they need to feel like they must keep spilling more blood to justify the blood already spent. The addicted gambler must constantly try to win back his losses, which is proven to be pure folly.

Of course, George W. Bush threw a lot of good money down a lot of bad oil wells, and he kept doing it time after time. Seems that old Dubya is allowing history to repeat itself, but this time the figurative wells are wet...with the blood of our troops bubbling forth. In fact, one could say it's a gusher.

8/17/2006 11:34 PM  
Blogger Effwit said...


Your analogy about addicted gamblers is apropos.

Some gamblers get into an odds-defying rut where they simply cannot win. "Mister Danger" now finds himself in that demographic.

8/18/2006 8:10 AM  

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