An "October (or November) Surprise" For Moqtada al-Sadr?

Yesterday I dismissed a pre-election "October Surprise" attack by the U.S. upon the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Shortly thereafter, a leading member of my network of national security experts posited a much more likely scenario for the kind of last minute attention-grabbing coup de grâce that might be expected from the Bush administration in the final days before the midterm elections.

It is no secret that the U.S. in conducting security operations in Sadr City -- the infamous Shiite-controlled Baghdad slum.

The television networks and the major print media would make good use of the timely (or untimely, depending on your outlook) killing of one of America's main bogeymen.

Nominated for your consideration: Moqtada al-Sadr.

Since the American people had no problem conflating Saddam Hussein with Osama bin Laden, many people will probably assume that we got the right guy this time.

Heck, they both have beards. Looks like a "slam dunk", PR wise.

Stay tuned.